What Is ELO Rating?
The 2024/25 UEFA Europa League campaign of 36 clubs presents an intriguing competitive landscape when analyzed based on their current ELO ratings.
ELO rating in football is a method for calculating the relative skill levels of teams based on their performance.
In this data analysis, ELO ratings quantitatively measure a team’s strength, factoring in their historical performance, statistics and recent form.
By examining these ratings alongside data like squad age, market value, and average market value per player, we can identify the strongest contenders for the top eight positions, which would secure direct qualification to the round of 16.
Additionally, in this analysis, we highlight the clubs likely to contend for the 9th to 24th positions, qualifying them for the knockout round to compete for the remaining eight spots in the round of 16.
ELO Rating Prediction For 2024/25 UEFA Europa League Top Eight Clubs
AS Roma Europa League ELO Rating
Starting with the top ELO-rated clubs, AS Roma stands out with an ELO rating of 1793.
The Italian side has a strong squad with an average age of 26.0 and a market value of €332.00m, translating to an average market value of €14.43m per player.
Roma’s combination of a high ELO rating, significant market value, and a well-balanced squad age suggests they are one of the favourites to finish in the top eight and secure direct qualification to the round of 16.
Tottenham Hotspur Europa League ELO Rating
Closely following AS Roma is Tottenham Hotspur, with an ELO rating of 1791.
Tottenham’s squad is slightly younger, with an average age of 25.0, and boasts a substantial market value of €770.50m, resulting in an average market value of €29.63m per player.
The high market value reflects the quality of the players in the squad, making Tottenham another strong contender for a top-eight finish.
Lazio Europa League ELO Rating
Lazio, with an ELO rating of 1774, also ranks among the top clubs in this competition.
Their squad has an average age of 26.7, a total market value of €223.75m, and an average market value of €7.99m per player.
While Lazio’s market value is lower than that of AS Roma and Tottenham, their high ELO rating indicates they can compete at the highest level in this tournament.
Lazio’s experience and consistency may allow it to secure a top-eight finish.
Atheltic Club Bilbao Europa League ELO Rating
Athletic Club, with an ELO rating of 1752, rounds out the top contenders for direct qualification to the round of 16.
The Basque club has a squad with an average age of 26.5 and a market value of €318.60m, leading to an average market value of €12.25m per player.
The Bilbao side’s strong ELO rating and solid squad composition make them a serious candidate for one of the top eight spots.
Real Sociedad Europa League ELO Rating
Real Sociedad, with an ELO rating of 1745, is another Spanish club that could challenge for a top-eight finish.
Their squad is slightly older, with an average age of 24.5, and they have a market value of €431.20m, resulting in an average market value of €15.40m per player.
Real Sociedad’s competitive strength, as indicated by their ELO rating, combined with their high market value, positions them as a club to watch in the battle for direct qualification.
SK Slavia Prague Europa League ELO Rating
SK Slavia Prague, with an ELO rating of 1742, is a notable club from the Czech Republic.
Their squad has an average age of 24.9, with a market value of €86.50m and an average market value of €2.79m per player.
Despite having a lower market value compared to some of the other top clubs, Slavia Prague’s ELO rating indicates that they have the potential to compete for a top-eight position.
Manchester United Europa League ELO Rating
Manchester United, one of the biggest names in European football, have an ELO rating of 1766.
Despite their illustrious history, their current form suggests they may face tough competition in securing a direct qualification spot.
Manchester United’s squad has an average age of 25.9, with a total market value of €857.35m and an average market value of €31.75m per player.
While their market value is among the highest in the competition, their ELO rating places them just outside the top contenders.
However, they could still push for a top-eight finish with their resources and talent.
FC Porto Europa League ELO Rating
FC Porto, with an ELO rating of 1789, is another club that could challenge for direct qualification.
The Portuguese giants have a squad with an average age of 25.2 and a market value of €334.25m, resulting in an average market value of €11.94, per player.
FC Porto’s high ELO rating and consistent performance in European competitions make them a strong candidate for a top-eight finish.
ELO Rating Prediction For 2024/25 UEFA Europa League Playoff Contenders
Moving on to the clubs likely to contend for the 9th to 24th positions, which would qualify them for the knockout round, several teams stand out.
Eintracht Frankfurt Europa League ELO Rating
Eintracht Frankfurt, with an ELO rating of 1703, is one such club.
Frankfurt’s squad has an average age of 24.3, with a market value of €248.30m and an average market value of €9.20m per player.
While they may not have the highest ELO rating, Frankfurt’s solid squad composition and competitive experience make them a contender for a knockout round spot.
Fenerbahce Europa League ELO Rating
Fenerbahce, with an ELO rating of 1704, is another club in this category.
The Turkish side has a squad with an average age of 27.1, with a market value of €233.50m and an average market value of €7.30m per player.
Fenerbahce’s experience and solid ELO rating suggest they have the potential to secure a place in the knockout round.
Olympique Lyon & OGC Nice Europa League ELO Rating
Olympique Lyon and OGC Nice, both with an ELO rating of 1696, are French clubs that will likely compete for knockout round spots.
Lyon’s squad has an average age of 25.8, with a market value of €252.00m and an average market value of €8.69m per player.
Nice’s squad is slightly younger, with an average age of 24.7, and has a market value of €220.20m, resulting in an average market value of €7.86 m per player.
Both clubs have strong squads and the competitive experience needed to advance to the knockout stages.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Europa League ELO Rating
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, with an ELO rating of 1679, is another club that could secure a knockout round spot.
The German side has a squad with an average age of 25.4, with a market value of €154.65m and an average market value of €4.99m per player.
Hoffenheim’s solid ELO rating and squad depth make them a potential contender for the knockout round.
Olympiacos Piraeus Europa League ELO Rating
Olympiacos Piraeus, with an ELO rating of 1674, is one of Greece’s most storied clubs.
Their squad, with an average age of 25.4 and a market value of €92.15m, is built on a strong foundation of experience and consistency in European competition.
Despite not being among the absolute favourites for a top-eight finish, Olympiacos has the potential to advance to the knockout round due to their competitive experience and solid ELO rating.
Union Saint-Gilloise Europa League ELO Rating
Union Saint-Gilloise, the Belgian side, has an ELO rating of 1659, which positions them as a strong candidate for the knockout round.
Their squad has an average age of 24.5, with a market value of €73.40m and an average market value of €2.72m per player.
Although they do not have the same financial resources as some of the bigger clubs, Union Saint-Gilloise has shown resilience and capability in past competitions, and they should not be underestimated.
Galatasaray Europa League ELO Rating
Galatasaray, with an ELO rating of 1699, is another Turkish club that could advance to the knockout round.
Their squad has an average age of 26.0, a market value of €281.80m, and an average market value of €8.81m per player.
Galatasaray’s experience in European competitions and solid squad composition suggest they have the potential to advance to the knockout stages.
PAOK Thessaloniki Europa League ELO Rating
PAOK Thessaloniki, with an ELO rating of 1626, is a Greek club that could be a surprise in this competition.
Their squad has an average age of 27.6, with a market value of €92.00m and an average market value of €3.41m per player.
While
their ELO rating is lower than some of the other contenders, PAOK’s competitive experience and solid squad make them a candidate for a knockout round spot.
SC Braga & FC Midtjylland Europa League ELO Rating
SC Braga and FC Midtjylland are two clubs with an ELO rating of 1657 and 1610, respectively.
SC Braga, hailing from Portugal, has a squad with an average age of 25.1 and a market value of €134.10m.
Despite their relatively lower ELO rating, Braga has consistently performed well in European competitions and could be a dark horse in the race for a knockout round spot.
On the other hand, FC Midtjylland from Denmark has a younger squad with an average age of 23.8 and a market value of €63.05m.
They might lack the experience of some of their competitors, but Midtjylland has shown potential in recent years and could spring a few surprises.
Ajax Amsterdam Europa League ELO Rating
Ajax Amsterdam, with an ELO rating of 1611, is a Dutch club that could advance to the knockout round.
Their squad has an average age of 24.0, a market value of €223.55m, and an average market value of €7.71m per player.
Ajax’s experience in European competitions and solid squad composition suggest they have the potential to advance to the knockout stages.
RSC Anderlecht Europa League ELO Rating
The next team to analyze is RSC Anderlecht, a Belgian club with an ELO rating of 1651.
Their squad has an average age of 26.0 and a market value of €112.80m.
Anderlecht is another club with a strong European pedigree, and despite not being among the top ELO-rated teams, they have the potential to secure a place in the knockout stages.
Twente Enschede FC Europa League ELO Rating
Twente Enschede FC from the Netherlands, with an ELO rating of 1606, is another club that could compete for a knockout round spot.
Their squad has an average age of 24.6 and a market value of €68.78m.
While Twente might not have the same level of experience as some of the other clubs, their solid ELO rating and competitive squad make them a potential contender for advancement.
FC Viktoria Plzen Europa League ELO Rating
With an ELO rating of 1616, FC Viktoria Plzen is a Czech club that could also secure a knockout round spot.
Their squad has an average age of 24.5 and a market value of €37.85m.
Viktoria Plzen has experience in European competitions and could surprise some of their higher-ranked opponents.
FK Bodø/Glimt Europa League ELO Rating
FK Bodø/Glimt, with an ELO rating of 1602, is a Norwegian club that could compete for a knockout round spot.
Their squad has an average age of 24.5, with a market value of €37.25m and an average market value of €1.13m per player.
Bodø/Glimt’s solid ELO rating and competitive experience make them a contender for the knockout stages.
ELO Rating Prediction For 2024/25 UEFA Europa League: The Rest
The following clubs may not be the top contenders based on their ELO ratings, but they still possess the potential to surprise and secure a place in the knockout rounds.
Additionally, some of these teams might be considered underdogs but could provide stiff competition and upset more established clubs.
AZ Alkmaar Europa League ELO Rating
AZ Alkmaar, with an ELO rating of 1596, is another Dutch club that could secure a knockout round spot.
Their squad has an average age of 23.1, with a market value of €65.85m and an average market value of €2.20m per player.
AZ Alkmaar’s solid ELO rating and competitive experience suggest they have the potential to advance to the knockout stages.
Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League ELO Rating
Maccabi Tel Aviv, with an ELO rating of 1589, is an Israeli club that could be a surprise in this competition.
Their squad has an average age of 25.3, with a market value of €22.00m and an average market value of €710k per player.
While their market value is lower than some of the other contenders, Maccabi Tel Aviv’s competitive experience and solid ELO rating make them a candidate for a knockout round spot.
Rangers FC Europa League ELO Rating
With an ELO rating of 1584, Rangers FC is a Scottish club that could secure a knockout round spot.
Their squad has an average age of 24.6, with a market value of €78.15m and an average market value of €2.69m per player.
Rangers’ experience in European competitions and solid squad composition make them a contender for the knockout stages.
Dynamo Kyiv Europa League ELO Rating
Dynamo Kyiv, with an ELO rating of 1549, is a Ukrainian club that could make it to the knockout round.
Their squad has an average age of 24.4, with a market value of €75.70m and an average market value of €2.52m per player.
Dynamo Kyiv’s experience in European competitions and solid squad composition make them a contender for the knockout stages.
Ludogorets Razgrad Europa League ELO Rating
Another club to consider is Ludogorets Razgrad from Bulgaria, with an ELO rating of 1501.
Their squad has an average age of 27.0 and a market value of €51.15m.
While they might not be seen as one of the stronger teams in the competition, Ludogorets has consistently qualified for European tournaments and could surprise some of their higher-ranked opponents.
Besiktas JK Europa League ELO Rating
Besiktas JK, with an ELO rating of 1519, is another Turkish club that could make an impact in this competition.
Their squad has an average age of 25.5 and a market value of €140.53m.
Besiktas has a history of competing well in Europe, and while they might not be among the top favourites, they can advance to the knockout stages.
Malmö Europa League ELO Rating
Malmö FF from Sweden, with an ELO rating of 1543, is another club that could make it to the knockout round.
Their squad has an average age of 27.9 and a market value of €33.50m.
Malmö has a solid ELO rating and competitive experience, making them a potential contender for advancement.
Qarabağ FK Europa League ELO Rating
Qarabağ FK, with an ELO rating of 1502, is an Azerbaijani club that could be considered a dark horse in this competition.
Their squad has an average age of 26.8 and a market value of €18.98m.
Qarabağ has consistently qualified for European tournaments, and while they might not be among the top contenders, they have the potential to upset some of their opponents and secure a knockout round spot.
IF Elfsborg Europa League ELO Rating
IF Elfsborg, a Swedish club with an ELO rating of 1514, might not be one of the highest-ranked teams in the 2024/25 UEFA Europa League campaign, but they certainly possess the potential to surprise.
Their squad has an average age of 24.9, which suggests a blend of youthful energy and emerging talent.
Despite having a relatively modest market value of €17.25m, with an average player value of €690k, IF Elfsborg has shown that they can compete on the European stage.
Ferencvárosi TC Europa League ELO Rating
Ferencvárosi TC, hailing from Hungary, enters the competition with an ELO rating of 1477.
Their squad, with an average age of 26.9, is one of the older ones in the tournament, suggesting a wealth of experience on the field.
Despite a lower market value of €55.23m and an average player value of €1.62m, Ferencvárosi has consistently been a strong force in Hungarian football and has made strides in European competitions in recent years.
FCSB Europa League ELO Rating
Finally, FCSB from Romania, with an ELO rating of 1424, and FC RFS from Latvia, with an ELO rating of 1278, round out the list of participating teams.
FCSB’s squad has an average age of 25.7 and a market value of €35.30m, while FC RFS has a squad with an average age of 26.1 and a market value of €9.43m.
Both clubs are likely to face tough competition in the group stage, but with determination and a bit of luck, they could aim to make it to the knockout rounds.
Conclusion
While the top ELO-rated clubs like AS Roma, Tottenham Hotspur, and SS Lazio are the favourites to secure direct qualification to the round of 16, several other clubs in the competition could challenge for the remaining spots in the knockout rounds.
From established clubs like Ajax Amsterdam and Olympiacos Piraeus to underdogs like Union Saint-Gilloise and Qarabağ FK, the 2024/25 UEFA Europa League campaign promises to be a thrilling and unpredictable journey for all involved.
With so many strong teams competing, every match will be crucial as they battle for European glory.
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